What happens when you start massively testing your population after spending the last 2 months with your head stuck in the sand? You get 8000 newly infected people. And the day is only ending in a few hours on the US. While the UK government still doesn’t have a clue how many infected people are roaming the streets, in the US, and specially in New York and Washington state, people are now being massively tested. Not that those people were just infected that week. Instead, infection was reading all over the place, but due to the lack of testing materials went unnoticed. The result? The US is already the 4th country with the highest number of daily fatalities, and will undoubtedly reach Italy infection number within this week.
On the UK, today’s figures are still all over the place. Daily reported newly infected cases dropped to around half of yesterday’s. Now, everyone knows viruses don’t stop during weekends, but people seem to, which renders today’s figures an exercise of futility, specially if you look at the fatalities figures, which albeit better than yesterday, is still the second highest.
Looking at the trends, the image is much murkier. 
Uk’s fatality rate is on a non stop upwards trend, which can only mean two things:
- The health system was overwhelmed, which apparently hasn’t happened, yet.
- The number of infections is completely off the reality.
Look at the chart, decide by yourself.
As the for the forecast, for March 23rd, expect around 7072 cumulative infections and between 338 and 385 cumulative fatalities.
As usual the source spreadsheet is available here.