On the last 24 hours and forecast for March 19th

Something continues to be off. PHE hasn’t  yet found a fixed time to publish new data. Today data referring to the last 24 hours ending at 9AM was only published at 18:44. To make things worst, it was the worst day possible with 43 new casualties. The UK is now fast approaching Italy’s new fatalities to new infection ratio, at around 3.95%. This value compares to Italy’s 8.5%, Spain’s 4.3% and South Korea (the other country massively testing entire population) of 0.9%.

For tomorrow, and the next few days, things will not improve. Actually, until April 4th, expect ever increasing number of daily fatalities.

Specially for tomorrow, around 3.5 thousand cumulative infections , and between 138 and 176 cumulative fatalities.

 

As usual the source spreadsheet is available here.

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